Teams in MLS are currently somewhere past the one-third mark of the 2019 regular season, with some teams having played a full 40 percent of their slates. With a good run of the campaign already in the books, where do the 24 teams' playoff odds currently sit?
FiveThirtyEight maintains regularly updated odds on each side's odds of reaching the Audi 2019 MLS Cup Playoffs, as well as teams' prospects of earning a first-round bye, winning the Supporters' Shield and even winning MLS Cup.
No surprise, LAFC sit atop the odds in all four categories. They are hovering around 99 percent to make the postseason, with an 83 percent chance of getting a first-round bye, and a 40 percent chance at present of winning MLS Cup. The current Shield leaders, they have a 70 percent probability of taking that title in FiveThirtyEight's current odds.
At the other end, the Colorado Rapids, fresh off their first win of the season, have considerable work to do to reach the postseason, as they currently have just a two percent chance of getting into the playoffs.
Here are the current playoff odds for all MLS teams as of publication, per FiveThirtyEight, where you can check out the full projections.
| Team | Odds to make playoffs as of May 20 |
|---|---|
| LAFC | >99% |
| Atlanta United | 94% |
| Philadelphia Union | 92% |
| Seattle Sounders | 90% |
| NYCFC | 88% |
| Houston Dynamo | 81% |
| LA Galaxy | 80% |
| D.C. United | 79% |
| Montreal Impact | 78% |
| New York Red Bulls | 70% |
| Toronto FC | 70% |
| Portland Timbers | 69% |
| Minnesota United | 60% |
| Real Salt Lake | 60% |
| FC Dallas | 60% |
| Sporting KC | 58% |
| Chicago Fire | 38% |
| Columbus Crew SC | 36% |
| Orlando City SC | 30% |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 26% |
| FC Cincinnati | 14% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14% |
| New England Revolution | 10% |
| Colorado Rapids | 2% |
