Seattle losing at home to an expansion team? The 2017 Supportersā Shield winners getting shut out at BMO Field? Not only did these Week 1 results surprise casual observers, but they upset a foundational principle of MLS Fantasy strategy.
As a general rule of thumb, Fantasy managers favor players who are playing at home. Past data has shown that home players outscore their traveling counterparts by anywhere from 6 to 22 percent. Those points add up over the course of the season.
As Round 2 looms, Iām banking on the home teams to re-establish their form. With several teams (Columbus Crew SC, Real Salt Lake, New York City FC, Houston and Orlando City) drawing favorable match-ups, home players should once again dominate the weekās top scorers.
Goalkeepers
Tried and True
He may not have recorded a shutout, but Joe Bendikās acrobatic penalty-kick save helped him to an excellent nine-point haul in Round 1. Should his Orlando City teammates keep an eye on Minnesota Unitedās Kevin Molino, the $5.5m goalkeeper could be in line for a clean sheet against a Loons team playing its second consecutive road game.
Friedelās Foresight
New England Revolution coach Brad Friedel knows goalkeepers, so he must have seen something special to hand former USL player Matt Turner ($4.2m) the gloves on Opening Day. Although the 23-year-old will be without both starting center backs due to red-card suspensions, he could be a sneaky ākeeperooā option against a Colorado Rapids attack that struggled in 2017.
Defenders
Steady Performer
Real Salt Lakeās Justen Glad ($5.7m) is a great bet at home against league newcomers LAFC, who did not create many chances despite their memorable 1-0 victory over Seattle. RSLās most capable defender could be in line for some bonus points and a clean sheet as Bob Bradleyās side adjust to the thin air of Sandy, Utah.
Excellent Passer
Ben Sweat ($5m) won New York City FCās starting job at left back over Costa Rican international Ronald Matarrita and responded with a clean sheet and an assist. Should the Florida native stay in the XI for his teamās home opener, Sweatinhoās laser-precise balls out of the back could bolster his fantasy score with another assist.
Other defensive options: Lalas Abubakar, Crew SC ($5m) Greg Garza, Atlanta United ($5m); Milton Valenzuela, Crew SC ($5.5m); Mohamed El-Munir, Orlando ($5.1m)
Midfielders
Teen Sensation
Alphonso Daviesā ability has never been in doubt, as his 12-point fantasy performance in Round 1 attests. Now that heās seemingly secured a starting spot in Carl Robinsonās Vancouver Whitecaps side and scored his first MLS goal, the $6m man should be in your squad from here on out.
Tremendous Matchup
According to one seasoned MLS observer, Justin Meram ($9.6m) was the best player on the field during Orlando Cityās opener against D.C. United. Against Minnesotaās shaky defense, I could see Meram breaking loose for a goal and an assist in the new-look Lions attack.
Player of the Week Potential
In Columbus Crew SCās opener, Meramās former teammate Federico Higuain ($10.5m) treated us to a masterclass. Although he is getting a little long in the tooth, his ability to float into empty space and make plays remains as sharp as ever. Facing an untested Impact midfield, Pipa is my captain choice and prediction for this weekās top fantasy scorer.
Other midfield options: Jesus Medina, NYCFC ($9.5m); Albert Rusnak, RSL ($10.5m)
Forwards
Death, Taxes and Villa at home
Starting David Villa ($11m) at home is an MLS Fantasy no-brainer. The 36-year-old showed he still has the quicks on NYCFCās opening goal ā Iāll have him in my starting lineup when Round 2 gets underway this weekend.
Shuri Thing
The Houston Dynamo showed that theyāre ready for 2018 by chewing up Atlanta Unitedās defense en route to an easy 4-0 victory. Alberth Elis ($9.5m) was in the middle of it all, providing two assists and a handful of defensive actions to boot. Elis deserves a look ā after all, what Wakanda manager would overlook the Black Panther?
Other striker options: Josef Martinez, Atlanta ($10.7)
Agree with any of these picks? Disagree? Let us know in the comments below.
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